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Tuesday, April 24, 2012

Merkel’s Back is Against the Wall… Time for Germany’s “Plan B”?

By Graham Summers

As long time readers know, a central theme to my analysis regarding Europe is that politics, not economics, rule Europe. What I mean by this is that most major decisions in Europe are determined by political agendas that ignore economic and financial realities.

This is at the core of the “welfare state” mentality that permeates Europe as a whole. The EU in general is comprised of an aging population that is more concerned about receiving the pensions/ health benefits/ social payouts that were promised to them by the system than anything else.

As a result of this, EU voters, who determine EU elections, don’t take action until what has promised to them comes under threat.

For this reason, EU political leaders will maintain their agendas regardless of whether said agendas go against financial or economic realities (or common sense for that matter) until these agendas begin to have real negative consequences for their political careers.

With that in mind, we must consider that Germany’s decision to prop up the Euro is finally beginning to arouse furor from the German population. In particular, the below story which reveals that Germany has in fact put German taxpayers on the hook for over €2 trillion in back-door EU rescue measures could be the proverbial tipping point that sends German voters over the edge.

German tempers boil over back-door euro rescues

Professor Hans-Werner Sinn, head of Germany's IFO Institute, said German taxpayers are facing a dangerous rise in credit risk from a plethora of bail-out schemes. "The euro-system is near explosion," he told Austria's Economics Academy on Thursday.

Dr Sinn said Germany is on the hook for much of the €2.1 trillion (£1.72 trillion) in rescue measures for EMU debtors - often by the back-door - that will saddle Germans with ruinous losses one day.

"It is a horror scenario," he said, warning that the euro system is splitting friendly countries into blocs of mutually hostile creditors and debtors, exactly the opposite of what was hoped.

Earlier this week, the Foundation for Family Business in Munich filed a criminal lawsuit against the Bundesbank, accusing the board of disguising the true scale of risk born by German citizens.


This is the last thing Angela Merkel needs right now. She’s already about to lose her primary ally in pushing for fiscal reform in the EU (Nicolas Sarkozy will very likely lose the second round of the French elections).

For her to now appear to be a complete hypocrite who talked of austerity in public while the Bundesbank was secretly signing Germany up for more and more EU debt behind the scenes could quickly become a MAJOR issue in German politics.read full article here Merkel’s Back is Against the Wall… Time for Germany’s “Plan B”?

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